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How do you draw the probabilities for this tree diagram?

How do you draw the probabilities for this tree diagram?-example-1
User Trnc
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1 Answer

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Explanation:

The prize is equally likely to have been placed behind doors 1, 2, and 3, so the probabilities of D₁, D₂, and D₃ are equal.

P(D₁) = P(D₂) = P(D₃) = 1/3

The contestant initially chooses door 1, so the host will not open it.

P(H₁|D₁) = P(H₁|D₂) = P(H₁|D₃) = 0

The host will not open the door with the prize.

P(H₂|D₂) = P(H₃|D₃) = 0

The remaining probabilities for each door are equal.

P(H₂|D₁) = P(H₃|D₁) = 1/2

P(H₃|D₂) = 1

P(H₂|D₃) = 1

How do you draw the probabilities for this tree diagram?-example-1
User Noobish
by
7.1k points
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