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In a randomly selected sample of 500 Phoenix residents, 445 supported mandatory sick leave for food handlers. Legislators want to be very confident that voters will support this issue before drafting a bill. What is the 99% confidence interval for the percentage of Phoenix residents who support mandatory sick leave for food handlers?

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Answer:

The 99% confidence interval for the percentage of Phoenix residents who support mandatory sick leave for food handlers is between 85.40% and 92.60%.

Explanation:

Confidence interval for the proportion:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of
\pi, and a confidence level of
1-\alpha, we have the following confidence interval of proportions.


\pi \pm z\sqrt{(\pi(1-\pi))/(n)}

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of
1 - (\alpha)/(2).

For this problem, we have that:


n = 500, \pi = (445)/(500) = 0.89

99% confidence level

So
\alpha = 0.01, z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of
1 - (0.01)/(2) = 0.995, so
Z = 2.575.

The lower limit of this interval is:


\pi - z\sqrt{(\pi(1-\pi))/(n)} = 0.89 - 2.575\sqrt{(0.89*0.11)/(500)} = 0.8540

The upper limit of this interval is:


\pi + z\sqrt{(\pi(1-\pi))/(n)} = 0.89  + 2.575\sqrt{(0.89*0.11)/(500)} = 0.9260

For the percentage:

Multiply the proportion by 100.

0.8540*100 = 85.40%

0.9260*100 = 92.60%

The 99% confidence interval for the percentage of Phoenix residents who support mandatory sick leave for food handlers is between 85.40% and 92.60%.

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