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The random variable X is exponentially distributed, where X represents the time it takes for a person to choose a birthday gift. If X has an average value of 26 minutes, what is the probability that X is less than 30 minutes? (Do not round until the final step. Round your answer to 3 decimal places.)

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3 votes

Answer:

0.685 = 68.5% probability that X is less than 30 minutes

Explanation:

Exponential distribution:

The exponential probability distribution, with mean m, is described by the following equation:


f(x) = \mu e^(-\mu x)

In which
\mu = (1)/(m) is the decay parameter.

The probability that x is lower or equal to a is given by:


P(X \leq x) = \int\limits^a_0 {f(x)} \, dx

Which has the following solution:


P(X \leq x) = 1 - e^(-\mu x)

If X has an average value of 26 minutes

This means that
m = 26, \mu = (1)/(26)

What is the probability that X is less than 30 minutes?


P(X \leq 30) = 1 - e^{-(30)/(26)} = 0.685

0.685 = 68.5% probability that X is less than 30 minutes

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