Exponential Growth
If a population has exponential growth, starting from an initial population Po, then the future number of members of the population is given by:

Where r is the growth rate and t is the time.
We are given the current population of bears Po = 43 and the increasing rate of r = 5% = 0.05 each year, thus the model can be written as:

Next year (t = 1), the population is expected to be:

There will be 45 bears next year