190k views
5 votes
Should you ever use *different* discount rates for different years in a DCF?

User Verbamour
by
8.2k points

1 Answer

2 votes

Final answer:

It can be justified to use different discount rates for different years in a DCF analysis due to changes in interest rates, the risk profile of investments, and individual expectations about the future. Different rates may reflect the fluctuating value of money over time in scenarios like bond interest rate risks.

Step-by-step explanation:

The question of whether to use different discount rates for different years in a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis is a nuanced one. In the real world, expected profits and the determination of an appropriate discount rate are based on best guesses and are not definitive pieces of data. When applying a discount rate, it's crucial to consider both potential capital gains from the future sale of the asset (like stock) and any expected dividends that might be paid out.

Should you use different discount rates for different years in a DCF? The fundamental concept to grasp is the value you're willing to pay in the present for a future stream of benefits. Changes in the external interest rate environment, risk profile of the investment, and individual investor expectations about the future can all justify varying discount rates across different time periods within a single DCF model.

For instance, with bonds, if interest rates rise after a bond is issued, your bond with a lower rate will sell for less than its face value. Conversely, if interest rates fall, the bond will sell for more. This highlights the interest rate risk associated with bonds and how the present discounted value adjusts with changes in the interest rate.

User Rabih
by
7.2k points

Related questions

Welcome to QAmmunity.org, where you can ask questions and receive answers from other members of our community.