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From the Florida State Center for Health Statistics report, Women and Cardiovascular Disease Hospitalizations, found that, for cardiovascular hospitalizations, the mean age of women is 71.9 years. At one hospital, a random sample of 20 of its female cardiovascular patients had a mean age of 72.91 years. Assume the population women cardiovascular patients is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 13.498 years. Do the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that the average age of women cardiovascular patients at the one hospital is greater than the mean age of all women cardiovascular patients in Florida? Explain the meaning of Type 1 and 2 errors and Power in the context of the problem.

User Felixwcf
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Hospital data suggests higher average age for female heart patients compared to statewide average.

A t-test can confirm this statistically, but be aware of potential errors and ensure sufficient study power.

This could influence healthcare practices at the hospital level.

Hypothesis Testing to Compare Average Ages

Based on the information provided, we can set up a hypothesis test to investigate whether the average age of women cardiovascular patients at the one hospital is greater than the mean age of all women cardiovascular patients in Florida.

Null Hypothesis (H0): The average age of women cardiovascular patients at the one hospital is equal to the mean age of all women cardiovascular patients in Florida (71.9 years).

Alternative Hypothesis (Ha):The average age of women cardiovascular patients at the one hospital is greater than the mean age of all women cardiovascular patients in Florida (71.9 years).

Type I and Type II Errors:

* Type I Error: Rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. In this context, it would mean concluding that the hospital's average age is higher than the state average when it's not statistically different. This is also known as a false positive.

* Type II Error: Failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is actually false. In this case, it would mean accepting that the hospital's average age is equal to the state average when it's actually higher. This is also known as a false negative.

Power:

* Power is the probability of correctly rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually false. In this study, power represents the likelihood of detecting a difference in average ages between the hospital and the state if it truly exists.

Testing the Hypothesis:

To test the hypothesis, we can perform a one-tailed t-test with a significance level of 5%. We can use the sample data (average age of 72.91 years and standard deviation of 13.498 years) and compare it to the population mean (71.9 years) with the known standard deviation.

Interpretation of Results:

* If the p-value is less than 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the average age of women cardiovascular patients at the one hospital is statistically significantly higher than the mean age for all women in Florida. The lower the p-value, the stronger the evidence against the null hypothesis and the higher the confidence in the conclusion.

* If the p-value is greater than 0.05, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. However, this does not necessarily mean that the hospital's average age is equal to the state average. It might indicate that the sample size was too small or that there is not enough evidence to detect a statistically significant difference.

Power Analysis:

In addition to the p-value, it is also important to consider the power of the study. A low power value indicates that the study might not have been able to detect a true difference in average ages even if it existed. Therefore, it is essential to ensure adequate power before drawing conclusions.

Conclusion:

By conducting a hypothesis test and considering the concepts of Type I/II errors and power, we can determine whether the data provides sufficient evidence to conclude that the average age of women cardiovascular patients at the one hospital is higher than the mean for all women in Florida. This information helps us understand the potential differences in patient demographics and their implications for healthcare practices at the hospital level.

Remember, this is a simplified explanation of the statistical concepts involved. Consulting a statistician or healthcare professional for a more comprehensive analysis is recommended.

User Doug Hughes
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