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The Springfield Meteorological Center wanted to determine the accuracy of their weather forecasts. What percentage range can be considered very accurate for a forecast of a 70% chance of rain?

a) 95% to 100%
b) 85% to 94%
c) 75% to 84%
d) 65% to 74%

1 Answer

5 votes

Final answer:

The Springfield Meteorological Center's accuracy regarding a 70% chance of rain cannot be precisely determined without specific standards. Typically, a forecast is very accurate if outcomes closely match the predicted chance, which might suggest a range near the predicted value, such as 65% to 74%.

Step-by-step explanation:

The question posed seems to be related to the concept of probability and statistics. When assessing the accuracy of a weather forecast predicting a 70% chance of rain, it's essential to understand how often the forecast is correct relative to the percentage predicted. A forecast is considered very accurate if the actual outcome matches the predicted probability.

However, it does not provide a specific percentage range for what can be considered very accurate for a forecast. Typically, a forecast can be considered very accurate if the observed outcomes are within a few percentage points of the predicted probability. One might argue for the option that covers the closest range around 70%, possibly 65% to 74%, but this is subjective and dependent on the standards set by the meteorological center.

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