-- From January 15 to February 6 is a period of 22 days.
-- The period of the full cycle of moon phases is 29.53 days.
-- So those dates represent (22/29.53) = 74.5% of a full cycle of phases.
-- That's almost exactly 3/4 of a full cycle, so on February 6, the moon would be almost exactly at Third Quarter. That's the left half of a disk (viewed from the northern hemisphere).