40.5k views
4 votes
Although Ken Brown (discussed in previous problem) is the principal owner of Brown Oil, his brother Bob is credited with making the company a financial success. Bob is vice president of finance. Bob attributes his success to his pessimistic attitude about business and the oil industry. Given the information from previous problem, it is likely that Bob will arrive at a different decision. What decision criterion should Bob use, and what alternative will he select

User Entendu
by
5.6k points

2 Answers

7 votes

Final answer:

Bob should use the minimax criterion, which aims to minimize the maximum loss, fitting his pessimistic outlook. This approach is suitable in contexts of imperfect information, where it can serve to protect against the worst-case scenarios.

Step-by-step explanation:

In assessing potential decisions for a financial executive like Bob, who has a pessimistic view on business and the oil industry, an appropriate decision criterion to use is minimax. The minimax criterion is utilized in decision-making under uncertainty to minimize the maximum possible loss. Given Bob's pessimistic attitude, it is likely that he would prefer to avoid the worst-case scenarios associated with any financial decision or investment. Therefore, using the minimax criterion, Bob is more likely to select alternatives that offer the least potential for loss in the most adverse of circumstances.

When operating in a real-life context where imperfect information is prevalent, Bob's approach would also be prudential. Imperfect information refers to a situation where there is an unequal distribution of information between parties, such as the management of Brown Oil having more insights into the company's future prospects compared to external investors. Bob's conservative strategy could safeguard the company against unforeseen adversities and financial pitfalls that may not be apparent due to this information asymmetry.

User Nikolay Zakirov
by
5.2k points
4 votes

Answer:

  1. Pessimistic criterion
  2. Texan equipment

Step-by-step explanation:

It is said that Bob has a pessimistic attitude when to comes to business and the oil industry. As a pessimist, Bob will look to minimize risk as much as he can because he is more worried about the downside of an investment than he is excited about the upside.

He will therefore pick the alternative that gives the lowest risk when things go bad which in this case will be Texan equipment because it offers the lowest losses if things should go bad at $18,000.

Although Ken Brown (discussed in previous problem) is the principal owner of Brown-example-1
User Jonathan Watmough
by
5.6k points