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Assume the heights in a female population are normally distributed with mean 65.7 inches and standard deviation 3.2 inches. Then the probability that a typical female from this population is between 5 feet and 5 feet 7 inches tall is (to the nearest three decimals) which of the following?

a. 0.620
b. 0.658
c. 0.963

User CmdLP
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Answer:

Choice a. approximately
0.62.

Explanation:

This explanation shows how to solve this problem using a typical
z-score table. Consider a normal distribution with mean
\mu and variance
\sigma^2. The
z\!-score for a measurement of value
x would be
(x - \mu) / \sigma.

Convert all heights to inches:


  • 5\; \rm ft = 5 * 12 \; in = 60\; \rm in.

  • 5\; \rm ft + 7\; \rm in = 5 * 12 \; in + 7\; \rm in = 67\; \rm in.

Let
X represent the height (in inches) of a female from this population. By the assumptions in this question:
X \sim \mathrm{N}(65.7,\, 3.2). The question is asking for the probability
P(60 \le X \le 67). Calculate the
z score for the two boundary values:

  • For the lower bound,
    60\; \rm in:
    \displaystyle z = (60 - 65.7)/(3.2) \approx -1.78.
  • For the upper bound,
    67\; \rm in:
    \displaystyle z = (67 - 65.7)/(3.2) \approx 0.41.

Look up the corresponding probabilities on a typical
z-score table.

For the
z-score of the upper bound, the corresponding probability is approximately
0.6591. In other words:


P(x \le 67) \approx 0.6591

On the other hand, some
z-score table might not include the probability for negative
z\! scores. That missing part can be found using the symmetry of the normal distribution PDF.

The probability corresponding to
P(z < 1.78) (that's the opposite of the
z\!-score at the lower bound) is approximately
0.9625. By the symmetry of the normal PDF:


P(z < -1.78) = 1 - P(z < 0 - (-1.78)) \approx 1 - 0.9625 = 0.0375.

Therefore:


P(X < 60) \approx 0.0375.

Calculate the probability of the interval between the two bounds:


\begin{aligned}P(60 \le X \le 65.7) &amp;= P(X \le 65.7) - P(X \le 60)\\ &amp;\approx 0.6591 - 0.0375 \approx 0.62 \end{aligned}.

User Zombio
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