Answer:
a) C. The population must be normally distributed.
b) P(x < 65.8) = 0.8159
c) P(x > 64.2) = 0.3015
Explanation:
To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.
Normal probability distribution
When the distribution is normal, we use the z-score formula.
In a set with mean
and standard deviation
, the zscore of a measure X is given by:
The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean
and standard deviation
, the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean
For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.
In this question:
(a) What must be true regarding the distribution of the population in order to use the normal model to compute probabilities regarding the sample me
n < 30, so the distribution of the population must be normal.
The correct answer is:
C. The population must be normally distributed.
(b) Assuming the normal model can be used, determine P(x < 65.8).
This is the pvalue of Z when X = 65.8. So
By the Central Limit Theorem
has a pvalue of 0.8159.
So
P(x < 65.8) = 0.8159
(c) Assuming the normal model can be used, determine P(x > 64.2).
This is 1 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 64.2. So
has a pvalue of 0.6985.
1 - 0.6985 = 0.3015
So
P(x > 64.2) = 0.3015