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The manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. But she doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 1% of her customers. What number of minutes should the advertisement use? Step 1 We need to find a so that P(X ≥ a) =

User UberAlex
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Answer:

The number of minutes advertisement should use is found.

x ≅ 12 mins

Explanation:

(MISSING PART OF THE QUESTION: AVERAGE WAITING TIME = 2.5 MINUTES)

Step 1

For such problems, we can use probability density function, in which probability is found out by taking integral of a function across an interval.

Probability Density Function is given by:


f(t)=\left \{ {{0 ,\-t<0 }\atop {(e^(-t/\mu))/(\mu)},t\geq0} \right. \\

Consider the second function:


f(t)=(e^(-t/\mu))/(\mu)\\

Where Average waiting time = μ = 2.5

The function f(t) becomes


f(t)=0.4e^(-0.4t)

Step 2

The manager wants to give free hamburgers to only 1% of her costumers, which means that probability of a costumer getting a free hamburger is 0.01

The probability that a costumer has to wait for more than x minutes is:


\int\limits^\infty_x {f(t)} \, dt= \int\limits^\infty_x {}0.4e^(-0.4t)dt

which is equal to 0.01

Step 3

Solve the equation for x


\int\limits^(\infty)_x {0.4e^(-0.4t)} \, dt =0.01\\\\(0.4e^(-0.4t))/(-0.4)=0.01\\\\-e^(-0.4t) |^\infty_x =0.01\\\\e^(-0.4x)=0.01

Take natural log on both sides


ln (e^(-0.4x))=ln(0.01)\\-0.4x=ln(0.01)\\-0.4x=-4.61\\x= 11.53

Results

The costumer has to wait x = 11.53 mins ≅ 12 mins to get a free hamburger

User Meiying
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