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The probability that Shruti succeeds at any given free-throw is 80%, percent. She was curious how many free-throws she can expect to succeed in a sample of 12 free-throws.

She simulated 25 samples of 12 free-throws where each free-throw had a 0.8, point, 8 probability of being a success.


Shruti counted how many free-throws were successes in each simulated sample. Here are her results:


Use her results to estimate the probability that she succeeds at 10 or more free-throws in a sample of 12 free-throws.

Give your answer as either a fraction or a decimal.

2 Answers

5 votes

Answer:0.8

Step-by-step explanation:in 5 of the 25 stimulated trials, scrutiny continued federal than 10 successes

4 votes

Answer:

0.5584 probability that she succeeds at 10 or more free-throws in a sample of 12 free-throws.

Explanation:

For each free throw, there are only two possible outcomes. Either she makes it, or she does not. The probability of making a free throw is independent of other free throws. So we use the binomial probability distribution to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.


P(X = x) = C_(n,x).p^(x).(1-p)^(n-x)

In which
C_(n,x) is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.


C_(n,x) = (n!)/(x!(n-x)!)

And p is the probability of X happening.

The probability that Shruti succeeds at any given free-throw is 80%, percent.

This means that
p = 0.8

Sample of 12 free throws:

This means that
n = 12

Use her results to estimate the probability that she succeeds at 10 or more free-throws in a sample of 12 free-throws.


P(X \geq 10) = P(X = 10) + P(X = 11) + P(X = 12)

In which


P(X = x) = C_(n,x).p^(x).(1-p)^(n-x)


P(X = 10) = C_(12,10).(0.8)^(10).(0.2)^(2) = 0.2835


P(X = 11) = C_(12,11).(0.8)^(11).(0.2)^(1) = 0.2062


P(X = 12) = C_(12,12).(0.8)^(12).(0.2)^(0) = 0.0687


P(X \geq 10) = P(X = 10) + P(X = 11) + P(X = 12) = 0.2835 + 0.2062 + 0.0687 = 0.5584

0.5584 probability that she succeeds at 10 or more free-throws in a sample of 12 free-throws.

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