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On a multiple-choice test, each question has 4 possible answers. A student does not know

answers to three questions, so the student guesses.
What is the probability that the student gets all three questions right?

User Jhonson
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1 Answer

4 votes

Answer:

1.56% probability that the student gets all three questions right

Explanation:

For each question, there are only two possible outcomes. Either the student guesses the answer correctly, or he does not. The probability of the student guessing the answer of a question correctly is independent of other questions. So we use the binomial probability distribution to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.


P(X = x) = C_(n,x).p^(x).(1-p)^(n-x)

In which
C_(n,x) is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.


C_(n,x) = (n!)/(x!(n-x)!)

And p is the probability of X happening.

Each question has 4 possible answers, one of which is correct.

So
p = \frac{1}[4} = 0.25

Three questions.

This means that
n = 3

What is the probability that the student gets all three questions right?

This is
P(X = 3)


P(X = x) = C_(n,x).p^(x).(1-p)^(n-x)


P(X = 3) = C_(3,3).(0.25)^(3).(0.75)^(0) = 0.0156

1.56% probability that the student gets all three questions right

User Tom Ladek
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7.2k points