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On a multiple-choice test. Abby randomly guesses on all seven questions. Each question

has four choices. Find the probability to the nearest thousandth, that Abby gets exactly
three questions correct.

User Agentsmith
by
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1 Answer

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Answer:

0.173 probability that she gets exactly three questions correct.

Explanation:

For each question, there are only two possible outcomes. Either she guesses the correct answer, or she does not. The probability of guessing the correct answer for a question is independent of other questions. So we use the binomial probability distribution to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.


P(X = x) = C_(n,x).p^(x).(1-p)^(n-x)

In which
C_(n,x) is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.


C_(n,x) = (n!)/(x!(n-x)!)

And p is the probability of X happening.

Seven questions:

This means that
n = 7

Each question has four choices.

Abby guesses, which means that
p = \frac{1}[4} = 0.25

Find the probability to the nearest thousandth, that Abby gets exactly three questions correct.

This is P(X = 3).


P(X = x) = C_(n,x).p^(x).(1-p)^(n-x)


P(X = 3) = C_(7,3).(0.25)^(3).(0.75)^(4) = 0.173

User Initialxy
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