Answer:
a) P(at least 2 tails) = 1/2
b) P(E₂ | E₁) = 1/2
c) P(E₂ | E₁) = 1/2
Explanation:
We are given that a coin is tossed three times which means there are
2³ = 8 possible outcomes
The sample space is
1. H-H-H
2. T-H-H
3. H-T-H
4. H-H-T
5. T-H-T
6. T-T-H
7. H-T-T
8. T-T-T
(a) What is the probability that the coin will land tails at least twice?
at least twice means 2 or more than 2 tails.
There are exactly 4 number of outcomes where we have at least 2 tails.
P(at least 2 tails) = 4/8
P(at least 2 tails) = 1/2
(b) What is the probability that the coin will land tails on the second toss, given that tails were thrown on the first toss?
The possible outcomes when tail is thrown on first toss are
E₁ = T-H-H, T-H-T, T-T-H, T-T-T (4 outcomes)
The possible outcomes when tail will land on second toss are
E₂ = H-T-H, H-T-T, T-T-H, T-T-T (4 outcomes)
The intersection of these outcomes are
(E₁ ∩ E₂) = T-T-H, T-T-T (2 outcomes)
Therefore, the probability that the coin will land tails on the second toss, given that tails were thrown on the first toss is
P(E₂ | E₁) = (E₁ ∩ E₂) /E₁
P(E₂ | E₁) = 2/4
P(E₂ | E₁) = 1/2
(c) What is the probability that the coin will land tails on the third toss, given that heads were thrown on the first toss?
The possible outcomes when head is thrown on first toss are
E₁ = H-H-H, H-H-T, H-T-H, H-T-T (4 outcomes)
The possible outcomes when tail will land on third toss are
E₂ = H-H-T, H-T-T, T-H-T, T-T-T (4 outcomes)
The intersection of these outcomes are
(E₁ ∩ E₂) = H-H-T, H-T-T (2 outcomes)
Therefore, the probability that the coin will land tails on the third toss, given that heads were thrown on the first toss is
P(E₂ | E₁) = (E₁ ∩ E₂) /E₁
P(E₂ | E₁) = 2/4
P(E₂ | E₁) = 1/2