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A clinical trial tests a method designed to increase the probability of conceiving a girl. In the study 370 babies were​ born, and 333 of them were girls. Use the sample data to construct a 99​% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of girls born. Based on the​ result, does the method appear to be​ effective?

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Answer:

CI=[0.8592,0.9402]

Yes, Method appears to be effective.

Explanation:

-We first calculate the proportion of girls born:


\hat p(x)/(n)\\\\=(333)/(370)\\\\=0.9

Since np
\geq 10, we assume normal distribution and calculate the 99% confidence interval as below:


CI=\hat p\pm z\sqrt{(\hat p(1-\hat p))/(n)}\\\\=0.9\pm2.576\sqrt{(0.9* 0.1)/(370)}\\\\=0.9\pm 0.0402\\\\={0.8598, \ 0.9402]

Hence, the confidence interval is {0.8598, 0.9402]

-The probability of giving birth to a girl is 0.5 which is less than the lower boundary of the confidence interval, it can be concluded that the method appears to be effective.

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