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A researcher claims that the mean annual cost of raising a child (age 2 and under) by husband-wife families in the U.S. is $13,960. In a random sample of husband-wife families in the U.S. the mean annual cost of raising a child (age 2 and under) is $13,725. The sample consists of 500 children and the population standard deviation is $2,345. At the α = 0.10, is there enough evidence to reject the claim? Use the p-value approach.

1 Answer

7 votes

Answer:


z=(13725-13960)/((2345)/(√(500)))=-2.24


p_v =2*P(z<-2.24)=0.0251

If we compare the p value and the significance level given
\alpha=0.1 we see that
p_v<\alpha so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, so we can conclude that the true mean is different from 13960 at 10% of signficance.

Explanation:

Data given and notation


\bar X=13275 represent the sample mean


\sigma=2345 represent the sample standard deviation


n=500 sample size


\mu_o =68 represent the value that we want to test


\alpha=0.1 represent the significance level for the hypothesis test.

t would represent the statistic (variable of interest)


p_v represent the p value for the test (variable of interest)

State the null and alternative hypotheses.

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to check if the true mean is 13960, the system of hypothesis would be:

Null hypothesis:
\mu = 13690

Alternative hypothesis:
\mu \\eq 13690

If we analyze the size for the sample is > 30 and we know the population deviation so is better apply a z test to compare the actual mean to the reference value, and the statistic is given by:


z=(\bar X-\mu_o)/((\sigma)/(√(n))) (1)

z-test: "Is used to compare group means. Is one of the most common tests and is used to determine if the mean is (higher, less or not equal) to an specified value".

Calculate the statistic

We can replace in formula (1) the info given like this:


z=(13725-13960)/((2345)/(√(500)))=-2.24

P-value

Since is a two sided test the p value would be:


p_v =2*P(z<-2.24)=0.0251

Conclusion

If we compare the p value and the significance level given
\alpha=0.1 we see that
p_v<\alpha so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, so we can conclude that the true mean is different from 13960 at 10% of signficance.

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