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A large manufacturer that sells consumer products on-line wishes to publicize its customer satisfaction in an advertisement. Specifically, it wants to state that over 90% of the manufacturer's customers would tell a friend to buy a product from the manufacturer. The manufacturer selects a random sample of 400 customers from its database, contacts them via email and asks them the question "Would you tell a friend to buy a product from us?" 372 say Yes, and 28 say No. Is thos enough evidence for this manufacturer to state that more than 90% of its costumers would tell their friend to buy a product from the manufacturer?

User Umbo
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1 Answer

5 votes

Answer:


z=\frac{0.93 -0.9}{\sqrt{(0.9(1-0.9))/(400)}}=2


p_v =P(z>2)=0.0228

So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level assumed
\alpha=0.05 we have
p_v<\alpha so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the proportion of people who say yes is significantly higher than 0.9 or 90%.

Explanation:

Data given and notation

n=400 represent the random sample taken

X=372 represent the number of people who say yes


\hat p=(372)/(400)=0.93 estimated proportion of people who say yes


p_o=0.9 is the value that we want to test


\alpha represent the significance level

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)


p_v represent the p value (variable of interest)

Concepts and formulas to use

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that that more than 90% of its costumers would tell their friend to buy a product from the manufacturer.:

Null hypothesis:
p\leq 0.9

Alternative hypothesis:
p > 0.9

When we conduct a proportion test we need to use the z statistic, and the is given by:


z=\frac{\hat p -p_o}{\sqrt{(p_o (1-p_o))/(n)}} (1)

The One-Sample Proportion Test is used to assess whether a population proportion
\hat p is significantly different from a hypothesized value
p_o.

Calculate the statistic

Since we have all the info requires we can replace in formula (1) like this:


z=\frac{0.93 -0.9}{\sqrt{(0.9(1-0.9))/(400)}}=2

Statistical decision

It's important to refresh the p value method or p value approach . "This method is about determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability assuming the null hypothesis were true of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed". Or in other words is just a method to have an statistical decision to fail to reject or reject the null hypothesis.

The significance level assumed for this case is
\alpha=0.05. The next step would be calculate the p value for this test.

Since is a right tailed test the p value would be:


p_v =P(z>2)=0.0228

So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level assumed
\alpha=0.05 we have
p_v<\alpha so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the proportion of people who say yes is significantly higher than 0.9 or 90%.

User Eugene Oskin
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