Final Answer:
a. The incremental sales associated with introducing the new pizza under the assumption of equal spending are $8.4 million.
b. In the scenario where 42% of switchers would choose another brand, the incremental sales are $12.04 million.
Step-by-step explanation:
a. Incremental sales with equal spending:
Original pizza sales: Unknown, but let's call it X.
New pizza sales from new customers: 60% of $21 million = $12.6 million.
New pizza sales from switchers: 40% of X.
Total new pizza sales: $12.6 million + 0.4X.
Incremental sales: Difference between total new pizza sales and original pizza sales: ($12.6 million + 0.4X) - X = $8.4 million.
b. Incremental sales with brand switching:
Switchers from original pizza: 40% of X.
Switchers to healthier pizza: 58% of switchers = 0.58 * 40% of X = 0.232X.
Switchers to another brand: 42% of switchers = 0.42 * 40% of X = 0.172X.
New pizza sales from switchers: 0.232X.
Sales lost to another brand: 0.172X.
Total new pizza sales: $12.6 million + 0.232X.
Net incremental sales: Difference between total new pizza sales and sales lost to another brand: ($12.6 million + 0.232X) - 0.172X = $12.04 million.
Therefore, introducing the new pizza leads to higher incremental sales even when accounting for customers switching to another brand, highlighting the potential market opportunity for healthier options.