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NASA is conducting an experiment to find out the fraction of people who black out at G forces greater than 6. In an earlier study, the population proportion was estimated to be 0.32.

1. How large a sample would be required in order to estimate the fraction of people who black out at 6 or more Gs at the 85% confidence level with an error of at most 0.03? Round your answer up to the next integer.

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Answer:

The sample that would be required in order to estimate the fraction of people who black out at 6 or more Gs is of size 502.

Explanation:

The (1 - α)% confidence interval for population proportion p is:


CI=\hat p\pm z_(\alpha/2)* \sqrt{(\hat p(1-\hat p))/(n)}

The formula to calculate the margin of error is,


MOE=z_(\alpha/2)* \sqrt{(\hat p(1-\hat p))/(n)}

The given information is,
\hat p = 0.32 and margin of error = 0.03.

The z-value for 85% confidence level is,


z_(\alpha/2)=z_(0.15/2)=z_(0.075)=1.44

*Use a z-table for the z-value.

Then the sample size n is given by,


MOE=z_(\alpha/2)* \sqrt{(\hat p(1-\hat p))/(n)}


n=[(z_(\alpha/2)* √(\hat p(1-\hat p)))/(MOE) ]^(2)


=[(1.44* √(0.32(1-0.32)))/(0.03)]^(2)


=(22.392)^(2)\\=501.402\\\approx502

Thus, the sample that would be required in order to estimate the fraction of people who black out at 6 or more Gs is of size 502.

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