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You work for a pharmaceutical company that has developed a new drug. The patent on the drug will last 17 years. You expect that the​ drug's profits will be $ 1 million in its first year and that this amount will grow at a rate of 3 % per year for the next 17 years. Once the patent​ expires, other pharmaceutical companies will be able to produce the same drug and competition will likely drive profits to zero. What is the present value of the new drug if the interest rate is nbsp 7 % per​ year?

User Spets
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1 Answer

1 vote

Answer:

$11,845,000

Step-by-step explanation:

there are two ways to calculate the value, the first one is using an excel spreadsheet and the other one is by using the growing annuity formula:

the excel spreadsheet is relatively easy to use (use NPV function), so I'll focus on the growing annuity formula:

PV = [P / (r - g)] x {1 - [(1 + g) / (1 + r)]ⁿ}

  • P = $1,000,000
  • g = 3%
  • r = 7%
  • n = 17

PV = [$1,000,000 / (7% - 3%)] x {1 - [(1 + 3%) / (1 + 7%)]¹⁷}

PV = ($1,000,000 / 4%) x [1 - (1.03 / 1.07)¹⁷]

PV = $25,000,000 x (1 - 0.5232)

PV = $25,000,000 x 0.4738 = $11,845,000

User Nuno Furtado
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