Explanation:
Using a standard approximation to calculate the likelihood of the number of electors stated. Suppose, in this scenario, that 185 registered voters aged 18-24 are randomly chosen. Suppose a recent survey found that 22 per cent of registered citizens aged 18-24 voted.
Mean = np = 0.22*185 = 40.7
std =
=
= 5.634
Probability that fewer than 46 voted
Binomial need:: P(x < 46)
Normal approx need:: P(x < 46.5)
P(46.5) = P(z < z)
= ( 46.5 - 40.7) / 5.634 = 5.8 / 5.634 = 0.8484
The probability that fewer than 34 of 145 eligible voters voted is 0.8484.