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Allen's hummingbird (Selasphorus sasin) has been studied by zoologist Bill Alther.â  Suppose a small group of 11 Allen's hummingbirds has been under study in Arizona. The average weight for these birds is x = 3.15 grams. Based on previous studies, we can assume that the weights of Allen's hummingbirds have a normal distribution, with Ï = 0.38 gram.

Find an 80% confidence interval for the average weight of Allen's hummingbirds in the study region. What is the margin of error?

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Answer:


3.15-1.28(0.38)/(√(11))=3.003


3.15+ 1.28(0.38)/(√(11))=3.297

So on this case the 80% confidence interval would be given by (3.003;3.297)

And the margin of error is given by:


ME = 1.28(0.38)/(√(11))= 0.147

Explanation:

Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".


\bar X=3.15 represent the sample mean


\mu population mean (variable of interest)


\sigma=0.38 represent the population standard deviation

n=11 represent the sample size

Solution to the problem

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:


\bar X \pm z_(\alpha/2)(\sigma)/(√(n)) (1)

Since the Confidence is 0.80 or 80%, the value of
\alpha=0.2 and
\alpha/2 =0.1, and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-NOR.INV(0.1,0,1)".And we see that
z_(\alpha/2)=1.28

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):


3.15-1.28(0.38)/(√(11))=3.003


3.15+ 1.28(0.38)/(√(11))=3.297

So on this case the 80% confidence interval would be given by (3.003;3.297)

And the margin of error is given by:


ME = 1.28(0.38)/(√(11))= 0.147

User Kanwarjeet Singh
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