A. The satellite should be insured for 97 months to be 90% confident
B. The probability that it will malfunction before the insurance coverage ends = 0.0032 or 0.32%
C. Expected Loss = 160,000
D. Expected Profit = 2,840,000
How do we find the various duration?
A. The duration for which the satellite should be insured to be 90% confident
Lets use the formula:
X = μ + Z×σ
X = 93 + 1.2816 × 3.3
X = 93 + 4.22928
X = 97.22928
B. Z = (X−μ)/σ
Z = (84−93)/3.3
Z = −9/3.3
Z = −2.7273
P(X < 84) = P(Z < −2.7273) = 0.0032, or about 0.32%
C. Expected Loss = Probability of Malfunction × Insurance Coverage
Expected Loss = 0.0032 × 50,000,000
Expected Loss = 160,000
D. Expected Profit = Revenue - Expected Loss
Expected Profit = 3,000,000 − 160,000
Expected Profit = 2,840,000