Question

Determine whether the following probability is best categorized as a subjective, empirical, or classical probability.

A political reporter announces that there is a 47% chance that the next person to come out of the conference room will be a Republican, since there are 83 Republicans and 92 Democrats in the room.

Answer 1

The correct answer to the question is

The probability is best categorized as a subjective probability.

Explanation:

To solve the question, we find the sum of politicians in the room.

Number of politicians in the room = 83 + 92 = 175

Next, we check the probability of a person coming out of the conference room is a Republican, P(A) or a Democrat P(B) as follows.

P(A) = 83/175 = 0.457 or 45.7 chance that the next person to come out of the conference room is a republican.

Therefore the announcement by the political reporter that .

there is a 47% chance that the next person to come out of the conference room will be a Republican, since there are 83 Republicans and 92 Democrats in the room.

is subjective