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A sample of 1700 computer chips revealed that 32% of the chips do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use. The company's promotional literature states that 34% of the chips do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use. The quality control manager wants to test the claim that the actual percentage that do not fail is different from the stated percentage. Determine the decision rule for rejecting the null hypothesis, H0, at the 0.02 level. Answer Tables

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Answer:


z=\frac{0.32 -0.34}{\sqrt{(0.34(1-0.34))/(1700)}}=-1.741


p_v =2*P(Z<-1.741)=0.0817

If we compare the p value and the significance level given
\alpha=0.02 we have
p_v>\alpha so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to FAIL to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the proportion of chips that do not fail in the first 100 hours of use is not significantly different from 0.34.

In order to calculate the decision rule we need to find the value of
\alpha=1-0.98=0.02, then
\alpha/2 = 0.01

Now we need to find a value on the normal standard distribution that accumulates 0.01 of the area on each tail and the critical value son this case are:
z_(crit) =\pm 2.33

So the rejection zone in terms of the Z distribution would be:


z_(calculated) \in [(-\infty, -2.33) U (2.33, \infty)]

Explanation:

1) Data given and notation

n=1700 represent the random sample taken


\hat p=0.32 estimated proportion of chips that do not fail in the first 100 hours of use


p_o=0.34 is the value that we want to test


\alpha=0.02 represent the significance level

Confidence=98% or 0.98

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)


p_v represent the p value (variable of interest)

2) Concepts and formulas to use

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that the proportion is different from 0.34:

Null hypothesis:
p=0.34

Alternative hypothesis:
p \\eq 0.34

When we conduct a proportion test we need to use the z statistic, and the is given by:


z=\frac{\hat p -p_o}{\sqrt{(p_o (1-p_o))/(n)}} (1)

The One-Sample Proportion Test is used to assess whether a population proportion
\hat p is significantly different from a hypothesized value
p_o.

3) Calculate the statistic

Since we have all the info requires we can replace in formula (1) like this:


z=\frac{0.32 -0.34}{\sqrt{(0.34(1-0.34))/(1700)}}=-1.741

4) Statistical decision

It's important to refresh the p value method or p value approach . "This method is about determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability assuming the null hypothesis were true of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed". Or in other words is just a method to have an statistical decision to fail to reject or reject the null hypothesis.

The significance level provided
\alpha=0.02. The next step would be calculate the p value for this test.

Since is a bilateral test the p value would be:


p_v =2*P(Z<-1.741)=0.0817

If we compare the p value and the significance level given
\alpha=0.02 we have
p_v>\alpha so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to FAIL to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the proportion of chips that do not fail in the first 100 hours of use is not significantly different from 0.34 .

In order to calculate the decision rule we need to find the value of
\alpha=1-0.98=0.02, then
\alpha/2 = 0.01

Now we need to find a value on the normal standard distribution that accumulates 0.01 of the area on each tail and the critical value son this case are:
z_(crit) =\pm 2.33

So the rejection zone in terms of the Z distribution would be:


z_(calculated) \in [(-\infty, -2.33) U (2.33, \infty)]

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