(i) The probability of failing to qualify on the first two jumps and succeeding on the third is
(1 - 0.8) (1 - 0.8) 0.8 = 0.032
In other words, if X is the random variable representing the first qualifying jump, then X is geometrically distributed and the probability of qualifying for the final round on exactly the n-th jump is
(ii) In order to qualify for the final round, David has to succeed on at least one jump. Let Y be the random variable representing how many successful jumps are made. Then Y is binomially distributed with
The probability of succeeding at least once is