215k views
3 votes
Nutz and Boltz, Inc., employs one hundred people; eighty are lawyers and twenty are engineers. Albert, a lawyer at the company, is quiet, likes puzzles, and carries a calculator. Most people, when asked whether Albert is a lawyer or an engineer, will guess that he is an engineer. These people are using __________ to make this faulty guess. A correct guess would have been made if they had used __________.

User Pgmank
by
5.1k points

1 Answer

3 votes

Answer:

These people are using the representativeness heuristic to make this faulty guess. A correct guess would have been made if they had used base rate information.

Explanation:

Representativeness heuristic occurs when the similarity of items or events causes individuals to be perplexed about the likelihood of a given result. People usually make the error of guessing that two comparable things or occurrences are more closely related than they are. Therefore, the similarity of an engineer and a calculator confuse the people to guess that Albert is an engineer.

Base rate information refers to the information provided by base rates which are a type of statistic that is used to describe the percentage of a population that exhibits a certain feature. Base rates suggest the likelihood of something based on the lack of other facts. Using the information in the question as an example, if 20% of the employees were engineers and 80% were lawyers, the base rate of lawyers is simply 80%. This implies that Albert is a lawyer, but we won't know for sure until we look at the total number of workers that the base rate information reveals that he is a lawyer.

Therefore, these people are using the representativeness heuristic to make this faulty guess. A correct guess would have been made if they had used base rate information.

User Pure
by
5.0k points
Welcome to QAmmunity.org, where you can ask questions and receive answers from other members of our community.