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Consider rolling two fair dice and observing the number of spots on the resulting upward face of each one. Letting A be the event that at least one of the dice results in 6 spots on its upward face, and E be the event that exactly one of the dice results in 6 spots on its upward face, give the value of P(E|A). (Note: This value can be easily obtained by looking at p. 2.3 of the class notes and using a reduced sample space. In fact, such an approach makes the solution so trivial, that for this problem, you don’t have to give any justification for your answer.)

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Answer:


P(E|A)= (10)/(11)

Explanation:

Given

Two rolls of die


E \to one of the outcomes is 6


A \to atleast one is 6

Required

P(E|A)

First, list out the outcome of each


E = \{(1,6),(2,6),(3,6),(4,6),(5,6),(6,1),(6,2),(6,3),(6,4),(6,5)\}


A = \{(1,6),(2,6),(3,6),(4,6),(5,6),(6,1),(6,2),(6,3),(6,4),(6,5),(6,6)\}

So:


P(E|A)= (n(E\ n\ A))/(n(A))

Where:


E\ n\ A = \{(1,6),(2,6),(3,6),(4,6),(5,6),(6,1),(6,2),(6,3),(6,4),(6,5)\}


n(E\ n\ A) = 10


n(A) = 11

So:


P(E|A)= (10)/(11)

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