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We are drawing a 5-card hand from a standard 52-card deck a. What is the probability that all the cards are spades? (5pts)

1 Answer

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Answer:

0.0005 = 0.05% probability that all the cards are spades.

Explanation:

The cards are chosen without replacement, which means that the hypergeometric distribution is used to solve this question.

Hypergeometric distribution:

The probability of x sucesses is given by the following formula:


P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = (C_(k,x)*C_(N-k,n-x))/(C_(N,n))

In which:

x is the number of sucesses.

N is the size of the population.

n is the size of the sample.

k is the total number of desired outcomes.

Combinations formula:


C_(n,x) is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.


C_(n,x) = (n!)/(x!(n-x)!)

In this question:

52 cards means that N = 52.

13 of the cards are spades, which means that k = 13.

5 card hand means that n = 5.

What is the probability that all the cards are spades?

This is P(X = 5). So


P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = (C_(k,x)*C_(N-k,n-x))/(C_(N,n))


P(X = 5) = h(5,52,5,13) = (C_(13,5)*C_(39,0))/(C_(52,5)) = 0.0005

0.0005 = 0.05% probability that all the cards are spades.

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