Question

A well-conducted opinion poll showed that 48% of voters surveyed favored the reelection of Congressman Porkbarrel. The people who conducted the survey reported that the poll had a margin of error of 3.5%. Which of the following best describes this statement

A. Based on the procedure by which this figure was generated, it is likely that the population proportion is between 44.5% and 51.5%.
B. About 3.5% of the people polled are likely to change their minds about who they will vote foir.
C. Between 44.5% and 51.5% of the voters will vote for Congressman Porkbarrel.
D. About 3.5% ofthe people interviewed refused to answer the question.
E. The probability is .48 that Congressman Porkbarrel will be reelected.

Answer 1

A. Based on the procedure by which this figure was generated, it is likely that the population proportion is between 44.5% and 51.5%.

Explanation:

Confidence interval:

We build a confidence interval from a sample proportion, to get an estimate of where the population proportion should likely be.

48% of voters surveyed favored the reelection of Congressman Porkbarrel, with a margin of error of 3.5%.

48 - 3.5 = 44.5%.

48 + 3.5 = 51.5%.

Following the concept of a confidence interval, the population proportion is likely to be between 44.5% and 51.5%, and thus, the correct answer is given by option A.