Answer:
Step-by-step explanation:
a. If the demand probabilities are 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3, which decision alternative will minimize the expected cost of the data processing operation?
Expected value own staff = 0.2(650 + 0.5(650) + 0.3(300) = 635
EV outside vendor = 0.2(900) + 0.5(600) + 0.3(300) = 570
EV combination = 0.2(800) + 0.5(650) + 0.3(500) = 635
Therefore, the correct answer is outside vendor since it has the minimum expected value.
b. Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision in part (a)
Demand Cost Probability
Low. 300000. 0.3
Medium. 600000. 0.5
High 900000. 0.2
The required probability is 0.2