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The PTO is selling raffle tickets to raise money for classroom supplies. A raffle ticket costs $3. There

is 1 winning ticket out of the 300 tickets sold. The winner gets a prize worth $62. Round your answers
to the nearest cent.

What is the expected value (to you) of one raffle ticket? $

Calculate the expected value (to you) if you purchase 6 raffle tickets. $

What is the expected value (to the PTO) of one raffle ticket? $

If the PTO sells all 300 raffle tickets, how much money can they expect to raise for the classroom
supplies? $

User Roocell
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1 Answer

4 votes

Answer:

Suppose that in a given event, there are N outcomes:

{x₁, x₂, ..., xₙ}

Such that the probabilities are:

{p₁, p₂, ..., pₙ}

The expected value is:

EV = x₁*p₁ + x₂*p₂ + ... + xₙ*pₙ

In this case, we know that each ticket costs $3.

There is 1 winning ticket out of 300 tickets, where the prize is $62.

Then we have two events, the one where you win.

x₁ = $62 - $3 = $59

With a probability:

p₁ = 1/300

The one where you don't win (and still pay for the ticket):

x₂ = -$3

p₂ = 299/300

a) Then the expected value is:

EV = ( 1/300)*$59 + (299/300)*(-$3) = -$2.79

b) The expected value is additive, this means that if you buy 6 tickets, the expected value will be equal to 6 times the expected value of a single ticket.

EV = 6*(-$2.79) = -$16.74

c) For the PTO the events are:

Winner ticket, so you lose $62 and win $3 for selling the ticket.

x₁ = $3 - $62 = -$59

p₁ = 1/300

Normal ticket, you win $3.

x₂ = $3

p₂ = 299/300

In this case the expected value is:

EV = (1/300)*(-$59) + (299/300)*$3 = $2.79

d) If the PTO sells the 300 tickets, then the expected value is 300 times the expected value for a single ticket:

EV = 300*$2.79 = $837

We should have the exact same than selling the 300 tickets:

300*$3 = $900

minus the $62 for the price:

$900 - $62 = $838

There is a difference of $1, that happens because we rounded the value of the expected value (the actual one was $2.792...)

User Cvb
by
5.3k points