Question

The Ambell Company uses batteries from two different manufacturers. Historically, 70% of the batteries are from manufacturer 1, and 90% of these batteries last for over 40 hours. Only 75% of the batteries from manufacturer 2 last for over 40 hours. A battery in a critical tool fails at 32 hours. What is the probability it was from manufacturer 1?

Answer 1

0.625

Explanation:

Given :

Ambell company uses or procures batteries from two manufacturers.

The life of a battery in critical tool is at = 32 hours

Ambell uses 70% of its batteries from manufacturer 1 and out of that 90% batteries lasts for about 40 hours.

Similarly, 75% of the batteries procured from the manufacturer 2 lasts for about 40 hours.

Therefore, the probability that a battery is form manufacturer 1 is :

`$(0.4 * 0.25)/((0.6 *0.1)+(0.4 * 0.25))$`

= 0.625