Answer:
The expected value of the bet is –$0.95.
Step-by-step explanation:
Number of cards in a standard deck = 52
Number of diamonds in a standard deck = 13
The probability (P) that the two cards that will be drawn without replacement will be diamonds is therefore as follows:
P = (13 / 52) * (12 / 51) = 0.0588
The probability (P) that the two cards that will be drawn without replacement will NOT be diamonds is also as follows:
1 – P = 1 – 0.0588
1 – P = 0.9412
Amount your friend will pay you if both cards are diamonds = $296
Amount you will pay your friend if both cards are NOT diamonds = -$17 (Note that this is negative since it is a loss)
Expected value of the bet = (P * $296) + ((1 – P) * ($-17)) = (0.0588 * $256) – (0.9412 * 17) = –$0.95