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Loretta is rolling an unfair 6 sided die with a single number between 1 and 6 on each face. She has a 70% chance of rolling a four. She is playing a game with a friend and knows that if she rolls a four on three of her next five rolls she will lose the game. She wants to determine the probability that she rolls a four on three of her next five rolls.

Which simulation design has an appropriate device and a correct trial?

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Complete question is;

Loretta is rolling an unfair 6 sided die with a single number between 1 and 6 on each face. She has a 70% chance of rolling a four. She is playing a game with a friend and knows that if she rolls a four on three of her next five rolls she will lose the game. She wants to determine the probability that she rolls a four on three of her next five rolls.

Which simulation design has an appropriate device and a correct trial?

A) Using a fair coin let heads represent rolling a four and tails represent not rolling a four. Flip the coin five times.

B) Using a table of random digits select a digit between 0 and 9. Let 0-6 represent rolling a four and 7-9 represent not rolling a four. Select five digits.

C) Roll a fair die with a single digit between 1 and 6 on each face. Let four represent rolling a four and 1-3 and 5 and 6 represent not rolling a four. Roll the die five times.

D) Using a table of random digits select a digit between 1 and 6, ignoring digits 0, 7, 8, and 9. Let 4 represent rolling a four and 1-3 and 5 and 6 represent not rolling a four Select five digits.

Answer:

B) Using a table of random digits, select a digit between 0 and 9. Let 0-6 represent rolling a four and 7-9 represent not rolling a four. Select five digits.

Explanation:

Since she knows that if she rolls a four on three of her next five rolls she will lose the game, then the best simulation that she will roll a four on three of the next five rolls will be option B because it uses a table of random digits and doesn't ignore any number but is well ordered with 0-6 representing a four and 7-9 not rolling a four.

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