We know that the population in 2003 and 2007 is:
2003: 1431
2007: 2134
1. To know how much the population grow from 2003 to 2007, we need to subtract the population in 2003 from the population of 2007:
Growth = 2134 - 1431 = 703
2. It took (2007 - 2003) = 4 years for the population to grow from 1431 to 2134.
3. The average population growth per year can be calculated as:
Average = Growth / (# of years) = 703/4 = 175.75
4. Since it is a linear model, the growth rate is constant for all years. 3 years passed from 2000 to 2003, and the average growth per year is 175.75, so the population in the year 2000 is:
Population_2000 = Population_2003 - 3*Average
Population_2000 = 1431 - 3*175.75 = 903.75
To the nearest whole number, the population in the year 2000 was 904.
5. The linear model is:
Where P is the population of the town t years after 2000, m is the average growth per year and b is the population in the year 2000. Using our results:
6. For the year 2014 the value of t is 14. Then, using our linear model, the population is:
The population of the town in 2014 will be 3365.