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NASA is conducting an experiment to find out the fraction of people who black out at G forces greater than six. In an earlier study the population proportion was estimated to be 0.45. How large of a sample would be required in order to estimate the fraction of people who black out at six and more gs at the 95% confidence level with an error of at most 0.04? Round your answer out to the next integer

NASA is conducting an experiment to find out the fraction of people who black out-example-1

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ANSWER:

595

Explanation:

Given:

Proportion (p) = 0.45

Margin of error (E) = 0.04

At 95% confidence level the z is:


\begin{gathered} \alpha=1-95\% \\ \\ \alpha=1-0.95=0.05 \\ \\ \alpha\text{/2}=(0.05)/(2)=0.025 \\ \\ \text{ The corresponding value of Z would be:} \\ \\ Z_{\alpha\text{/2}}=1.96 \end{gathered}

We can calculate the value of the sample by the following formula:


\begin{gathered} E=Z_{\alpha\text{/2}}\cdot\sqrt{(p\cdot(1-p))/(n)} \\ \\ \text{ We replacing:} \\ \\ 0.04=1.96\cdot \sqrt{(0.45\cdot \left(1-0.45\right))/(n)} \\ \\ \sqrt{(0.45\left(1-0.45\right))/(n)}=(0.04)/(1.96) \\ \\ (0.45\left(1-0.45\right))/(n)=\left(\:(0.04)/(1.96)\right)^2 \\ \\ (1)/(n)=(\left(\:(0.04)/(1.96)\right)^2)/(0.45\left(1-0.45\right)) \\ \\ n=(0.45\left(1-0.45\right))/(\left(\:(0.04)/(1.96)\right)^2) \\ \\ n=594.2475\cong595 \end{gathered}

The sample size is 595