Binomial distribution formula:
where:
P: probability
x: number of times for a specific outcome within n trials
nCx: number of combinations
p: probability of success on a single trial
q: probability of failure on a single trial
n: number of trials
We have to apply the binomial distribution for this case because a child lives or doesn't live with his/her father only.
Substituting with x = 2, p = 0.04 (=4/100), q = 0.96 (= 1 - 0.04), n = 12, we get:
The probability that exactly 2 of the 12 children under 18 years old lived with their father only is 0.070 or 7%