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There is a raffle with 500 tickets. One ticket will win a $660 prize, fifteen tickets will win a $160 prize, wenty tickets will win a $70 prize, and the rest will win nothing. If you have a ticket, what is the expected payoff?

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3 votes

To answer this question, we need to calculate the expected value for this raffle.

• We have that for winning the $660, we have a probability of 1/500.

,

• For winning a $160 prize, we have a probability of 15/500.

,

• For wining a $70 prize, we have a probability of 20/500.

,

• For the rest, (500 - (1+15+20) = 500 - 36 = 464), that is, 464/500 you will expect win nothing.

Then, the expected payoff is given as follows:


(1)/(500)\cdot660+(15)/(500)\cdot160+(20)/(500)\cdot70+(464)/(500)\cdot0=8.92

Then, the expected payoff is $8.92.

User Pavel Donchev
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