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In a raffle, one ticket will win a $380 prize, and the rest will win nothing. There are 250 in the raffle, each costing $13. If you buy a ticket, what is the expected profit?

User Koto
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1 Answer

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ANSWER:

The expected profit is $ -11.48 (That is a loss, not profit)

Explanation:

The first thing is to calculate the probability of winning and the probability of losing, knowing that only 1 in 250 people would win it, therefore:


\begin{gathered} \text{Probability of winning } \\ (1)/(250) \\ \text{Probability of losing } \\ (249)/(250) \end{gathered}

Now we must calculate the gain or loss of winning and thethe gain or loss of losing:


\begin{gathered} \text{ Gain or loss of winning} \\ 380-13=367 \\ \text{ Gain or loss of losing} \\ -13 \end{gathered}

Now we calculate the expected value as follows:


\begin{gathered} E=\text{Probability of winning }\cdot\text{ Gain or loss of winning}+\text{Probability of losing }\cdot\text{Gain or loss of losing} \\ E=(1)/(250)\cdot367+(249)/(250)\cdot-13 \\ E=(367)/(250)-(3237)/(250) \\ E=(367-3237)/(250) \\ E=(-2870)/(250) \\ E=-11.48 \end{gathered}

User RobbieE
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