Given a deck of 10 cards numbered 1 through 10, you know that:
- Carlos wins an amount of money equal to the value of the card if an odd-numbered card is drawn.
- He loses $6 if an even-numbered card is drawn.
(a) By definition, the Expected Value is:
Where:
- An outcome is:
- The probability of the outcome is:
In this case, you can set up this equation in order to find the expected value of playing the game:
Evaluating, you get:
(b) If he replaces the card in the deck each time, you know that the expected value indicates that the more he plays, the more probable is he gets this value:
Hence, the answers are:
(a)
(b) First option: Carlos can expect to gain money. He can expect to win 9.5 dollars per draw.