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Three students are asked to solve one problem separately. Suppose they can solve it independently with probability 0.8, 0.9 and 0.7 respectively. What is the probability that the problem will be solved?​

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Answer:

0.994

Explanation:

the easiest way for a problem like this is to say :

the probability that it gets solved in any form and way is the opposite of none of them can solve it.

the probabilities to not solve the problem are

1 - 0.8 = 0.2

1 - 0.9 = 0.1

1 - 0.7 = 0.3

the probability that all the of them fail is

0.2 × 0.1 × 0.3 = 0.006

the probability that the problem gets solved is the opposite of that :

1 - 0.006 = 0.994

we could do it structured as well :

it is the probability that

student 1 solved it but not students 2 and 3.

0.8 × 0.1 × 0.3 = 0.024

or

student 2 solved it but not students 1 and 3.

0.9 × 0.2 × 0.3 = 0.054

or

student 3 solved it but not students 1 and 2.

0.7 × 0.2 × 0.1 = 0.014

or

student 1 and 2 solved it but not student 3.

0.8 × 0.9 × 0.3 = 0.216

or

student 1 and 3 solved it but not student 2.

0.8 × 0.7 × 0.1 = 0.056

or

student 2 and 3 solved it but not student 1.

0.9 × 0.7 × 0.2 = 0.126

or

student 1, 2 and 3 solved it.

0.8 × 0.9 × 0.7 = 0.504

and now all "or" are added probabilities. so, we add them all up :

0.024 + 0.054 + 0.014 + 0.216 + 0.056 + 0.126 + 0.504 =

0.994

so, we were correct already in the first place.

User Henry Aspden
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