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Suppose that a disease is inherited via a dominant mode

of inheritance and that only one of the two parents is
affected with the disease. The implications of this mode of
inheritance are that the probability is 1 in 2 that any particular
offspring will get the disease.
3.30 What is the probability that in a family with two children,
both siblings are affected?
3.31 What is the probability that exactly one sibling is affected?

User Matt Ryall
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To calculate the probability that both siblings are affected by the disease in a family with two children, we need to consider the mode of inheritance.

Since the disease is inherited via a dominant mode of inheritance, if one parent is affected, there is a 1 in 2 chance that they carry the dominant disease-causing gene.

For the first child, there are two possibilities: they can either inherit the disease-causing gene from the affected parent or not inherit it.

If the first child inherits the disease-causing gene, there is a 1 in 2 chance that the second child will also inherit it.

If the first child does not inherit the disease-causing gene, there is a 0 chance that the second child will inherit it.

So, to calculate the probability that both siblings are affected, we multiply the probabilities together:

(1/2) * (1/2) = 1/4

Therefore, the probability that both siblings are affected is 1 in 4.

To calculate the probability that exactly one sibling is affected by the disease in a family with two children, we can consider two scenarios:

1. The first child inherits the disease-causing gene and the second child does not.

- The probability of the first child inheriting the gene is 1/2.

- The probability of the second child not inheriting the gene is also 1/2.

- So, the probability of this scenario is (1/2) * (1/2) = 1/4.

2. The first child does not inherit the disease-causing gene and the second child does.

- The probability of the first child not inheriting the gene is 1/2.

- The probability of the second child inheriting the gene is also 1/2.

- So, the probability of this scenario is (1/2) * (1/2) = 1/4.

To find the probability that exactly one sibling is affected, we add the probabilities of the two scenarios:

1/4 + 1/4 = 2/4 = 1/2

Therefore, the probability that exactly one sibling is affected is 1 in 2.

User Siannone
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