Final answer:
To calculate the expected standard deviation of a portfolio, you need to consider the expected returns and standard deviations of the individual assets in the portfolio, as well as the correlations between their returns. In this case, investing 125% in the Canadian stock market (by shorting the U.S. market) would result in an expected standard deviation of approximately 24.964% on the portfolio.
Step-by-step explanation:
To calculate the expected standard deviation of a portfolio, we need to consider the expected returns and standard deviations of the individual assets in the portfolio, as well as the correlations between their returns. In this case, we are investing 125% in the Canadian stock market (by shorting the U.S. market), so the weight of the Canadian stock market is 1.25 and the weight of the U.S. market is -0.25. The expected return of the portfolio can be calculated as:
(Weight of Canadian stock market * Expected return of Canadian stock market) + (Weight of U.S. stock market * Expected return of U.S. stock market) = (1.25 * 13%) + (-0.25 * 18%) = 16%.
The variance is calculated as:
(Weight of Canadian stock market)^2 * Variance of Canadian stock market + (Weight of U.S. stock market)^2 * Variance of U.S. stock market + 2 * (Weight of Canadian stock market) * (Weight of U.S. stock market) * Covariance of returns between Canadian and U.S. stock markets
Substituting the values, we get:
(1.25)^2 * (20%) + (-0.25)^2 * (15%) + 2 * (1.25) * (-0.25) * (1.5%) = 0.625 + 0.09375 - 0.09375 = 0.625.
The standard deviation of the portfolio is the square root of the variance, so the expected standard deviation on the portfolio is approximately ≈ 0.79 or 24.96%.