d. Water vapor will increase in the air which leads to more warming, and snow and ice will therefore shrink, amplifying the warming.
d. The CO2 by itself will cause a warming of just over 1 degree C (1.8 degrees F), which is called the climate sensitivity, but feedbacks will then amplify this to about 1.8 degrees C (about 3.2 degrees F).
d. They are basing this on direct measurements of the atmosphere over the last 60 years or so, and overlapping ice-core data that extend back about 800,000 years.
d. Primarily because of human fossil-fuel burning, as shown by the match between the amount burned and the rising atmospheric and oceanic concentration, the lack of notable change in volcanism, and by atmospheric tracers that identify fossil-fuel CO2.