Answer: I disagree with this statement because China faces many domestic and international challenges that limit its ability to become a global leader.
Explanation: China has achieved remarkable economic growth and technological development in the past four decades, becoming the world’s second-largest economy and a major player in global affairs. However, China also faces many obstacles that prevent it from becoming a global leader, such as:
- The Middle-Income Trap: China’s economic model relies heavily on exports, investment, and low-cost manufacturing, which are becoming less sustainable as wages rise, demand slows down, and competition increases. China needs to shift to a more innovative, consumption-driven, and service-oriented economy, but this requires political and institutional reforms that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is reluctant to undertake.
- The Demographic Challenge: China’s population is aging rapidly due to the one-child policy and low fertility rates, which will reduce its labor force, increase its social welfare costs, and constrain its economic potential. China also faces a gender imbalance, an urban-rural divide, and ethnic tensions that could undermine its social stability.
- The Environmental Crisis: China’s rapid industrialization and urbanization have caused severe environmental degradation and pollution, which threaten its public health, food security, and natural resources. China is also the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases and a major contributor to climate change, which poses global risks and responsibilities.
- The International Backlash: China’s assertive foreign policy and growing military power have provoked anxiety and resistance from its neighbors and rivals, especially the United States. China faces territorial disputes in the East and South China Seas, trade wars with the U.S. and other countries, human rights criticisms over its policies in Xinjiang and Hong Kong, and diplomatic isolation over its handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. China also lacks soft power and global trust, as its political system, values, and culture are often seen as incompatible with or threatening to the liberal international order.
Therefore, I disagree with the statement that China is an emerging global dominant leader in the world and one possibly likely to become global leader of the world. China has many strengths and achievements, but also many weaknesses and challenges that limit its global leadership potential. China’s rise is not inevitable or unstoppable; it depends on how it manages its domestic and international affairs in the face of uncertainty and complexity.
Hope this helps, and have a great day! =)