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5 votes
Out of 400 people sampled, 160 preferred

Candidate A. Based on this, estimate what proportion of the voting population (p) prefers Candidate A.
Use a 90% confidence level, and give your answers as decimals, to three places. Use GeoGebra to calculate!

User Eesdil
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1 Answer

5 votes
To estimate the proportion of the voting population that prefers Candidate A, we can use a point estimate and a confidence interval. The point estimate is the sample proportion, which is:

p-hat = 160/400 = 0.4

To construct a confidence interval for the true proportion p, we can use the following formula:

p-hat ± z*sqrt(p-hat*(1-p-hat)/n)

where z is the critical value for the desired confidence level, sqrt is the square root function, and n is the sample size.

At a 90% confidence level, the critical z-value is 1.645. Substituting the given values, we get:

0.4 ± 1.645*sqrt(0.4*(1-0.4)/400)

Simplifying this expression, we get:

0.4 ± 0.052

Therefore, the 90% confidence interval for the true proportion p is (0.348, 0.452).

This means that we can be 90% confident that the proportion of the voting population that prefers Candidate A is between 0.348 and 0.452.
User Garrison
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