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monthly sales are independent normal random variables with mean and standard deviation a. find the probability that exactly of the next months have sales greater than 100. b. find the probability that the total of the sales in the next

User Pedz
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Answer: We can use the properties of the normal distribution to solve both parts of this problem.

a) The number of months with sales greater than 100 is a binomial random variable with parameters n = the number of months and p = the probability of a single month having sales greater than 100. Since each month is an independent normal random variable, we can use the standard normal distribution to find this probability. Let X be the number of months with sales greater than 100. Then:

X ~ Binomial(n, p)

where n is the number of months and p is given by:

p = P(X_i > 100) = P(Z > (100 - a) / a)

where Z is a standard normal random variable.

Using the binomial probability formula, the probability of exactly k months having sales greater than 100 is:

P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)

So the probability of exactly 3 months having sales greater than 100 is:

P(X = 3) = (n choose 3) * p^3 * (1 - p)^(n - 3)

= (12 choose 3) * P(Z > (100 - a) / a)^3 * [1 - P(Z > (100 - a) / a)]^(12 - 3)

b) The total sales in the next 12 months is a normal random variable with mean 12a and standard deviation sqrt(12)a. Let Y be the total sales in the next 12 months. Then:

Y ~ Normal(12a, sqrt(12)a)

The probability of the total sales being greater than some value x can be found by standardizing Y and using the standard normal distribution:

P(Y > x) = P((Y - 12a) / (sqrt(12)a) > (x - 12a) / (sqrt(12)a))

= P(Z > (x - 12a) / (sqrt(12)a))

where Z is a standard normal random variable. So the probability of the total sales in the next 12 months being greater than 1500 is:

P(Y > 1500) = P(Z > (1500 - 12a) / (sqrt(12)a))

Explanation:

User Steve Eddins
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